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Red57
676616.6
728017.5
752234.2
Blue58
551517.7
704717.5
998611.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions774901001502005758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7522
Unranked
34.20.0
34.234.2
Auto13.0
Teleop17.4
End3.9
red by 16.5
5515
Unranked
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End4.7
Second
7280
Unranked
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.1
End4.6
blue by 0.1
7047
Unranked
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.1
End4.6
Third
6766
Unranked
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End4.4
red by 5.3
9986
Unranked
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability odds4%Sustainability odds
Activation
29%Activation odds36%Activation odds