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Red4
728017.5
881316.7
635314.1
Blue91
639416.7
551517.7
821432.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48750100150200250300491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7280
Unranked
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.1
End4.6
blue by 15.4
8214
Unranked
32.80.0
32.832.8
Auto6.8
Teleop19.7
End6.3
Second
8813
Unranked
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End4.4
blue by 1.0
5515
Unranked
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End4.7
Third
6353
Unranked
14.10.0
14.114.1
Auto1.7
Teleop7.9
End4.5
blue by 2.6
6394
Unranked
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability odds12%Sustainability odds
Activation
17%Activation odds34%Activation odds