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Qual 112023 Colorado Regional
Red103
494437.6
320028.1
66224.3
Blue75
455040.0
294521.3
259417.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6484204010012014016010375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4944
#9
37.62.7
26.2→28.9
Auto9.5
Teleop21.8
End6.3
blue by 2.4
4550
#7
40.00.4
35.5→35.0
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End8.7
Second
3200
#17
28.12.7
17.9→20.6
Auto6.6
Teleop14.9
End6.7
red by 6.8
2945
#38
21.30.4
24.7→24.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End5.5
Third
662
#20
24.34.5
18.7→23.1
Auto7.2
Teleop11.6
End5.6
red by 7.1
2594
#34
17.20.7
16.3→15.6
Auto6.1
Teleop5.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsMissed