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Qual 162023 Colorado Regional
Red111
259417.2
449966.4
748513.2
Blue119
15923.6
429333.6
455040.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9779050150200111119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#4
66.41.5
57.4→58.9
Auto17.3
Teleop38.9
End9.8
red by 26.4
4550
#7
40.02.5
35.0→37.5
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End8.7
Second
2594
#34
17.22.5
15.6→18.1
Auto6.1
Teleop5.8
End5.3
blue by 16.4
4293
#5
33.62.5
18.5→21.0
Auto11.2
Teleop15.4
End7.0
Third
7485
#41
13.22.5
15.5→18.0
Auto2.4
Teleop6.5
End4.3
blue by 10.4
159
#26
23.64.2
23.1→27.2
Auto6.7
Teleop12.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned11%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned