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Red80
380720.7
320028.1
406845.2
Blue53
906820.1
364831.4
833428.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76660501001508053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.7
35.936.6
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End7.3
red by 13.8
3648
#16
31.40.7
19.218.5
Auto6.5
Teleop17.4
End7.5
Second
3200
#17
28.10.7
20.621.2
Auto6.6
Teleop14.9
End6.7
blue by 0.3
8334
#14
28.51.1
22.321.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.1
End9.1
Third
3807
#25
20.71.1
13.214.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End4.7
red by 0.7
9068
#23
20.11.1
21.420.3
Auto7.6
Teleop9.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsMissed