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Qual 252023 Colorado Regional
Red79
234115.2
141045.2
197721.3
Blue72
203630.2
337434.5
748513.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71720204060801001201407972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1410
#2
45.20.5
34.0→34.4
Auto12.5
Teleop23.6
End9.1
red by 10.7
3374
#12
34.50.4
29.7→29.3
Auto9.8
Teleop18.2
End6.6
Second
1977
#18
21.30.8
16.7→17.5
Auto7.5
Teleop10.1
End3.6
blue by 9.0
2036
#19
30.20.6
20.1→19.4
Auto13.3
Teleop8.9
End8.1
Third
2341
#42
15.20.5
16.5→16.9
Auto2.7
Teleop9.4
End3.2
red by 2.1
7485
#41
13.20.6
18.0→17.4
Auto2.4
Teleop6.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed52%Activation oddsMissed