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Qual 272023 Colorado Regional
Red127
364831.4
438820.8
161963.5
Blue38
259417.2
747910.6
372937.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107732040608010012014016012738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#3
63.51.4
54.7→56.1
Auto15.3
Teleop37.9
End9.9
red by 26.5
3729
#21
37.02.3
34.0→31.7
Auto11.2
Teleop19.0
End6.7
Second
3648
#16
31.41.4
18.5→19.9
Auto6.5
Teleop17.4
End7.5
red by 14.2
2594
#34
17.23.9
18.1→14.2
Auto6.1
Teleop5.8
End5.3
Third
4388
#30
20.82.3
22.9→25.2
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End5.8
red by 10.2
7479
#40
10.63.9
20.7→16.8
Auto5.4
Teleop2.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsMissed