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Red161
161963.5
372937.0
133958.4
Blue32
455040.0
747910.6
438820.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1527605010020016132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.51.6
56.157.7
Auto15.3
Teleop37.9
End9.9
red by 23.4
40.03.2
38.735.4
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End8.7
Second
58.41.6
47.549.1
Auto15.4
Teleop34.2
End8.4
red by 37.5
4388
#30
20.85.4
25.219.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End5.8
Third
3729
#21
37.01.6
31.733.3
Auto11.2
Teleop19.0
End6.7
red by 26.4
7479
#40
10.65.4
16.811.4
Auto5.4
Teleop2.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
37%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsMissed