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Red99
459334.5
197721.3
259417.2
Blue58
429333.6
66224.3
208319.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66600501001502009958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4593
#10
34.52.5
29.832.3
Auto8.9
Teleop18.1
End7.5
red by 0.9
33.60.1
21.721.8
Auto11.2
Teleop15.4
End7.0
Second
1977
#18
21.34.2
17.521.6
Auto7.5
Teleop10.1
End3.6
blue by 3.1
662
#20
24.30.1
23.223.3
Auto7.2
Teleop11.6
End5.6
Third
2594
#34
17.24.2
14.218.4
Auto6.1
Teleop5.8
End5.3
blue by 2.5
2083
#36
19.70.1
12.112.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
15%Activation oddsEarned34%Activation oddsEarned