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Qual 392023 Colorado Regional
Red108
66224.3
449966.4
747910.6
Blue118
406845.2
208319.7
299642.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108834060100120140160180108118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#4
66.40.7
63.4→64.1
Auto17.3
Teleop38.9
End9.8
red by 21.2
4068
#8
45.22.5
38.8→41.3
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End7.3
Second
662
#20
24.31.1
23.3→24.4
Auto7.2
Teleop11.6
End5.6
blue by 17.6
2996
#15
42.02.5
29.7→32.2
Auto11.6
Teleop23.6
End6.8
Third
7479
#40
10.61.1
11.4→12.5
Auto5.4
Teleop2.1
End3.1
blue by 9.1
2083
#36
19.74.1
12.2→16.3
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned