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Qual 422023 Colorado Regional
Red38
576314.9
294521.3
364831.4
Blue46
179922.4
234115.2
380720.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655402040801001201403846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3648
#16
31.41.5
21.4→19.9
Auto6.5
Teleop17.4
End7.5
red by 9.0
1799
#27
22.40.7
16.3→15.6
Auto3.8
Teleop13.5
End5.0
Second
2945
#38
21.31.5
22.6→21.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End5.5
red by 0.6
3807
#25
20.70.7
17.4→16.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End4.7
Third
5763
#33
14.92.4
16.0→13.5
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End4.2
blue by 0.3
2341
#42
15.20.4
18.4→18.0
Auto2.7
Teleop9.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed14%Activation oddsMissed