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Red99
208319.7
133958.4
259417.2
Blue127
224052.6
13039.9
406845.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9011640608010014016018099127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.7
51.151.9
Auto15.4
Teleop34.2
End8.4
red by 5.7
52.60.3
49.649.9
Auto10.7
Teleop32.2
End9.5
Second
2083
#36
19.71.2
16.317.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End8.3
blue by 25.5
45.20.3
41.341.6
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End7.3
Third
2594
#34
17.21.2
20.521.7
Auto6.1
Teleop5.8
End5.3
red by 7.3
1303
#29
9.90.5
14.615.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned