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Red100
833428.5
455040.0
234115.2
Blue96
329814.7
429333.6
494437.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8067020030040010096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.01.4
36.037.5
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End8.7
red by 2.4
37.61.8
33.835.6
Auto9.5
Teleop21.8
End6.3
Second
8334
#14
28.52.4
19.822.1
Auto4.3
Teleop15.1
End9.1
blue by 5.1
33.61.8
23.825.6
Auto11.2
Teleop15.4
End7.0
Third
2341
#42
15.21.4
18.019.4
Auto2.7
Teleop9.4
End3.2
red by 0.5
3298
#31
14.71.8
6.88.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsMissed