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Red62
724316.4
179922.4
406845.2
Blue85
133217.7
441825.4
429333.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9874501502006285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.21.8
43.141.3
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End7.3
red by 11.7
33.60.9
29.430.3
Auto11.2
Teleop15.4
End7.0
Second
1799
#27
22.42.4
24.722.2
Auto3.8
Teleop13.5
End5.0
blue by 3.0
4418
#22
25.40.9
23.624.4
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End7.2
Third
7243
#37
16.42.4
21.318.9
Auto7.2
Teleop8.4
End0.7
blue by 1.3
1332
#35
17.70.9
19.120.0
Auto3.6
Teleop8.9
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsMissed58%Activation oddsEarned