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Red141
294521.3
161963.5
459334.5
Blue82
15923.6
494437.6
438820.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132775010015020014182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.50.3
62.562.8
Auto15.3
Teleop37.9
End9.9
red by 25.8
37.60.2
35.335.4
Auto9.5
Teleop21.8
End6.3
Second
4593
#10
34.50.3
33.533.8
Auto8.9
Teleop18.1
End7.5
red by 10.9
159
#26
23.60.2
23.323.5
Auto6.7
Teleop12.2
End4.5
Third
2945
#38
21.30.3
20.721.0
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End5.5
red by 0.5
4388
#30
20.80.2
20.821.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsMissed