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Red139
133958.4
179922.4
449966.4
Blue100
372937.0
320028.1
113827.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1579050100200139100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.40.0
64.464.4
Auto17.3
Teleop38.9
End9.8
red by 29.4
3729
#21
37.00.2
36.937.1
Auto11.2
Teleop19.0
End6.7
Second
58.40.0
56.456.4
Auto15.4
Teleop34.2
End8.4
red by 30.2
3200
#17
28.10.2
28.028.2
Auto6.6
Teleop14.9
End6.7
Third
1799
#27
22.40.0
20.420.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.5
End5.0
blue by 5.3
1138
#13
27.70.2
27.727.8
Auto6.9
Teleop14.9
End6.0