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Match 82023 Colorado Regional
Red103
329814.7
141045.2
161963.5
Blue133
406845.2
429333.6
441825.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13910050150200103133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#3
63.50.5
64.1→63.6
Auto15.3
Teleop37.9
End9.9
red by 18.2
4068
#8
45.20.6
43.5→44.1
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End7.3
Second
1410
#2
45.20.5
45.8→45.3
Auto12.5
Teleop23.6
End9.1
red by 11.7
4293
#5
33.60.6
31.8→32.4
Auto11.2
Teleop15.4
End7.0
Third
3298
#31
14.70.5
15.3→14.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End3.1
blue by 10.6
4418
#22
25.40.6
23.6→24.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End7.2