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Red125
449974.1
208334.1
203638.9
Blue69
999013.7
999617.2
133955.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1259105010015020012569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.10.7
66.766.0
Auto15.5
Teleop49.5
End6.5
red by 18.9
1339
#2Sur
55.21.5
60.458.9
Auto14.8
Teleop32.3
End7.7
Second
2036
#7Sur
38.90.7
30.529.8
Auto13.9
Teleop17.5
End7.5
red by 21.6
9996
#24
17.22.5
15.312.9
Auto6.7
Teleop2.8
End8.0
Third
2083
#13
34.10.7
28.427.7
Auto11.6
Teleop14.4
End8.2
red by 20.4
9990
#35
13.72.5
15.412.9
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsMissed25%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned