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Red133
133955.2
999528.2
998823.1
Blue70
999930.7
748513.9
297235.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1014005015020013370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.22.4
59.361.7
Auto14.8
Teleop32.3
End7.7
red by 20.1
2972
#12
35.10.4
30.230.5
Auto10.6
Teleop14.8
End10.0
Second
28.24.0
16.220.2
Auto9.2
Teleop12.5
End6.8
blue by 2.4
30.70.6
16.216.8
Auto6.8
Teleop18.3
End5.6
Third
9988
#20
23.14.0
16.220.2
Auto3.4
Teleop13.1
End7.1
red by 9.3
7485
#38
13.90.4
13.213.5
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
45%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
18%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsMissed