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Red123
999930.7
406842.8
133955.2
Blue118
320033.0
161962.0
593326.9
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128101050150200123118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.20.1
58.958.8
Auto14.8
Teleop32.3
End7.7
blue by 6.8
1619
#10
62.00.8
56.857.6
Auto14.4
Teleop40.0
End5.7
Second
4068
#11
42.80.1
44.844.8
Auto12.3
Teleop22.8
End7.8
red by 9.8
3200
#22
33.00.8
23.724.4
Auto6.1
Teleop20.2
End6.7
Third
30.70.1
20.120.0
Auto6.8
Teleop18.3
End5.6
red by 3.7
5933
#25
26.90.8
25.826.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.4
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsMissed