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Red168
449974.1
998918.1
999125.2
Blue86
999235.3
999528.2
455038.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7378406010012014016016886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.14.2
66.070.2
Auto15.5
Teleop49.5
End6.5
red by 35.6
4550
#21
38.60.4
40.140.5
Auto11.4
Teleop19.3
End8.1
Second
9991
#15
25.26.9
13.019.9
Auto5.9
Teleop11.5
End7.9
blue by 10.1
9992
#18
35.30.6
20.821.4
Auto7.4
Teleop19.9
End8.2
Third
9989
#26
18.16.9
6.613.6
Auto2.2
Teleop9.7
End6.6
blue by 10.1
28.20.6
19.319.9
Auto9.2
Teleop12.5
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsEarned