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Red101
549313.4
297235.1
406842.8
Blue108
203638.9
999840.5
197721.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10563050150200101108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4068
#11
42.80.7
44.845.4
Auto12.3
Teleop22.8
End7.8
red by 2.3
40.54.0
23.227.2
Auto7.3
Teleop24.7
End8.9
Second
2972
#12
35.10.7
29.430.1
Auto10.6
Teleop14.8
End10.0
blue by 3.7
38.92.4
29.832.2
Auto13.9
Teleop17.5
End7.5
Third
5493
#39
13.40.7
16.917.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End1.8
blue by 7.9
1977
#29
21.32.4
19.321.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsEarned