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Red68
999316.2
999013.7
161962.0
Blue103
224046.7
203638.9
297235.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8112205010015020025030068103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#10
62.01.0
57.656.6
Auto14.4
Teleop40.0
End5.7
red by 15.3
2240
#19
46.70.2
44.344.1
Auto8.9
Teleop29.2
End8.1
Second
9993
#28
16.21.6
15.814.1
Auto2.5
Teleop7.9
End6.2
blue by 22.7
38.90.2
32.232.0
Auto13.9
Teleop17.5
End7.5
Third
9990
#35DQ
13.71.6
9.47.8
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.2
blue by 21.4
2972
#12
35.10.2
30.129.8
Auto10.6
Teleop14.8
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsMissed96%Activation oddsEarned