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Red50
748513.9
197721.3
438821.5
Blue79
372933.0
999617.2
208334.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions548201001502002503003505079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#23
21.51.8
20.018.2
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End5.6
blue by 12.6
2083
#13
34.10.2
27.727.9
Auto11.6
Teleop14.4
End8.2
Second
1977
#29
21.31.8
21.719.9
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End6.2
blue by 11.7
3729
#14
33.00.2
32.432.6
Auto12.4
Teleop13.8
End6.9
Third
7485
#38
13.91.8
9.88.0
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End4.2
blue by 3.3
9996
#24
17.20.4
10.611.0
Auto6.7
Teleop2.8
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsMissed52%Activation oddsEarned