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Red110
999235.3
429343.6
748513.9
Blue68
833423.3
494441.1
999316.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions739705015020025030035011068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.62.2
40.042.3
Auto9.3
Teleop26.4
End7.8
red by 2.5
4944
#17
41.11.3
43.141.8
Auto10.1
Teleop22.9
End7.9
Second
9992
#18
35.33.5
21.124.6
Auto7.4
Teleop19.9
End8.2
red by 12.0
8334
#30
23.31.3
24.823.4
Auto7.6
Teleop9.1
End6.7
Third
7485
#38
13.92.2
10.312.6
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End4.2
blue by 2.3
9993
#28
16.22.1
15.013.0
Auto2.5
Teleop7.9
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsMissed