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Red102
406842.8
364820.2
208334.1
Blue92
337423.9
455038.6
998717.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1077705015020010292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4068
#11
42.80.1
43.643.5
Auto12.3
Teleop22.8
End7.8
red by 4.2
4550
#21
38.61.0
37.438.3
Auto11.4
Teleop19.3
End8.1
Second
2083
#13
34.10.1
30.029.9
Auto11.6
Teleop14.4
End8.2
red by 10.2
3374
#40
23.91.0
26.827.8
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End8.0
Third
3648
#31
20.20.1
19.819.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.1
End6.3
red by 2.7
9987
#27
17.51.5
13.314.8
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsEarned