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Red106
429343.6
441830.0
179919.8
Blue113
320033.0
203638.9
748513.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10881050150200250106113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.60.2
42.342.5
Auto9.3
Teleop26.4
End7.8
red by 4.7
38.91.8
35.237.0
Auto13.9
Teleop17.5
End7.5
Second
30.00.2
28.328.4
Auto6.8
Teleop17.6
End5.6
blue by 3.0
3200
#22
33.01.8
28.129.9
Auto6.1
Teleop20.2
End6.7
Third
1799
#34
19.80.2
22.622.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End6.2
red by 6.0
7485
#38
13.91.8
12.614.4
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsEarned