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Red98
998717.5
208334.1
999528.2
Blue40
999013.7
833423.3
380712.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71673040506080901009840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2083
#13
34.11.9
29.931.8
Auto11.6
Teleop14.4
End8.2
red by 10.8
8334
#30
23.30.6
23.422.9
Auto7.6
Teleop9.1
End6.7
Second
28.22.7
25.428.1
Auto9.2
Teleop12.5
End6.8
red by 14.5
9990
#35
13.70.9
12.611.8
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.2
Third
9987
#27
17.52.7
14.817.5
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End3.0
red by 5.1
3807
#37
12.30.6
12.812.2
Auto2.9
Teleop4.6
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsEarned30%Activation oddsMissed