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Red108
217034.1
816731.1
769424.3
Blue118
574622.8
99932.6
19565.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103133050150200108118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2170
#18
34.10.1
39.939.7
Auto7.2
Teleop19.7
End7.9
blue by 31.5
195
#1
65.60.9
60.960.0
Auto12.1
Teleop44.7
End7.9
Second
8167
#15
31.10.1
32.132.0
Auto8.3
Teleop17.0
End6.1
blue by 1.5
999
#17
32.60.9
38.437.5
Auto9.9
Teleop15.6
End7.2
Third
7694
#16
24.30.1
28.127.9
Auto8.8
Teleop9.3
End6.6
red by 1.5
5746
#21
22.80.9
22.021.1
Auto4.0
Teleop9.6
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsMissed59%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned