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Red118
107120.9
19565.6
769424.3
Blue93
715335.1
888935.9
17824.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11710340608014016018011893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
65.60.0
61.261.1
Auto12.1
Teleop44.7
End7.9
red by 29.7
8889
#14
35.90.7
39.338.6
Auto11.2
Teleop18.2
End6.2
Second
7694
#16
24.30.0
26.126.1
Auto8.8
Teleop9.3
End6.6
blue by 10.8
7153
#11
35.10.7
36.535.8
Auto10.3
Teleop16.1
End8.8
Third
1071
#13
20.90.0
21.021.0
Auto4.8
Teleop9.7
End6.8
blue by 3.9
178
#20
24.80.7
22.822.1
Auto9.8
Teleop13.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
44%Sustainability oddsEarned28%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsMissed71%Activation oddsMissed