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Red158
17744.1
19565.6
17824.8
Blue106
715335.1
169940.7
23727.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13710750150200158106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
65.62.2
61.163.4
Auto12.1
Teleop44.7
End7.9
red by 25.0
40.70.2
41.140.9
Auto14.1
Teleop21.0
End5.2
Second
177
#5
44.12.2
41.844.0
Auto7.5
Teleop29.2
End6.4
red by 9.0
7153
#11
35.10.2
35.835.6
Auto10.3
Teleop16.1
End8.8
Third
178
#20
24.82.2
22.124.3
Auto9.8
Teleop13.3
End1.9
blue by 2.3
237
#23
27.20.2
27.227.0
Auto10.6
Teleop10.7
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
79%Sustainability oddsEarned37%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned