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Red76
574622.8
888935.9
107120.9
Blue162
17661.9
206749.3
169940.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851865010015020025076162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8889
#14
35.91.1
41.940.7
Auto11.2
Teleop18.2
End6.2
blue by 25.9
176
#6
61.90.1
68.368.3
Auto14.6
Teleop37.3
End8.4
Second
5746
#21
22.81.1
24.323.2
Auto4.0
Teleop9.6
End9.6
blue by 26.5
49.30.1
53.653.5
Auto11.9
Teleop27.7
End8.5
Third
1071
#13
20.91.1
26.625.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.7
End6.8
blue by 19.7
40.70.1
45.545.4
Auto14.1
Teleop21.0
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsMissed98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned