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Red61
17744.1
816731.1
99932.6
Blue121
15533.1
17824.8
174046.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13310305015020061121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#5
44.14.0
42.538.5
Auto7.5
Teleop29.2
End6.4
blue by 2.5
1740
#12
46.61.0
43.544.5
Auto10.1
Teleop28.6
End7.7
Second
999
#17
32.64.0
42.438.4
Auto9.9
Teleop15.6
End7.2
blue by 0.5
155
#9
33.11.0
30.631.6
Auto10.5
Teleop13.2
End9.6
Third
8167
#15
31.14.0
36.132.1
Auto8.3
Teleop17.0
End6.1
red by 6.2
178
#20
24.81.0
26.327.3
Auto9.8
Teleop13.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsMissed37%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsMissed73%Activation oddsEarned