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Red162
574622.8
19565.6
808552.3
Blue137
23059.2
769424.3
17744.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361286080100120160180162137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
65.60.6
64.164.7
Auto12.1
Teleop44.7
End7.9
red by 6.4
230
#2
59.20.0
59.959.8
Auto15.7
Teleop35.3
End6.6
Second
52.30.6
50.751.3
Auto11.1
Teleop33.3
End7.2
red by 8.1
177
#5
44.10.0
44.844.7
Auto7.5
Teleop29.2
End6.4
Third
5746
#21
22.80.6
21.321.9
Auto4.0
Teleop9.6
End9.6
blue by 1.5
7694
#16
24.30.0
25.024.9
Auto8.8
Teleop9.3
End6.6