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Red127
23727.2
816731.1
22828.7
Blue101
15533.1
57133.2
17824.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8590406080100120127101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8167
#15
31.10.8
30.631.4
Auto8.3
Teleop17.0
End6.1
blue by 2.1
571
#7
33.20.2
33.033.2
Auto7.3
Teleop20.1
End6.3
Second
228
#19
28.70.8
28.229.0
Auto6.3
Teleop14.1
End8.5
blue by 4.4
155
#9
33.10.2
32.833.1
Auto10.5
Teleop13.2
End9.6
Third
237
#23
27.20.8
26.727.5
Auto10.6
Teleop10.7
End5.9
red by 2.3
178
#20
24.80.2
24.624.8
Auto9.8
Teleop13.3
End1.9