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Red94
634627.9
808549.6
585614.5
Blue120
816729.8
107126.1
169946.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64102020408012014016094120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.61.9
41.543.4
Auto11.8
Teleop28.8
End9.0
red by 2.9
46.71.6
40.341.9
Auto15.5
Teleop24.0
End7.3
Second
6346
#15
27.91.9
14.616.5
Auto8.8
Teleop13.0
End6.1
blue by 1.9
8167
#17
29.81.6
25.627.2
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End6.3
Third
5856
#34
14.51.9
8.810.7
Auto2.4
Teleop5.7
End6.4
blue by 11.7
1071
#11
26.11.6
25.126.7
Auto6.8
Teleop12.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned