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Red140
816729.8
574624.3
105837.2
Blue92
634627.9
169946.7
919317.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88702040608010012014016014092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.5
29.029.5
Auto10.6
Teleop19.2
End7.3
blue by 9.5
46.71.6
41.943.5
Auto15.5
Teleop24.0
End7.3
Second
8167
#17
29.80.5
27.227.7
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End6.3
red by 1.9
6346
#15
27.91.6
16.518.1
Auto8.8
Teleop13.0
End6.1
Third
5746
#12
24.30.5
24.024.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.6
End9.9
red by 6.6
9193
#28
17.71.6
9.611.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.3
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsEarned