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Red127
9549.6
105837.2
634627.9
Blue32
672317.1
102719.9
905615.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11244010015020012732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#5
49.62.1
39.942.0
Auto12.9
Teleop29.4
End7.3
red by 29.7
1027
#29
19.91.5
19.117.6
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End7.1
Second
37.22.1
33.035.0
Auto10.6
Teleop19.2
End7.3
red by 20.1
6723
#31
17.11.5
13.712.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End6.6
Third
6346
#15
27.92.1
23.225.3
Auto8.8
Teleop13.0
End6.1
red by 12.8
9056
#30
15.12.5
16.914.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned44%Activation oddsMissed