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Red117
23633.2
99942.4
816729.8
Blue93
57131.6
740752.3
206419.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10910270809012013014015011793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#3
42.40.4
35.535.9
Auto13.0
Teleop21.2
End8.3
blue by 9.9
7407
#13
52.30.2
48.848.5
Auto12.9
Teleop30.6
End8.8
Second
236
#18
33.20.4
34.134.5
Auto11.9
Teleop12.7
End8.6
red by 1.6
571
#20
31.60.2
28.328.0
Auto7.9
Teleop17.5
End6.1
Third
8167
#17
29.80.4
31.632.0
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End6.3
red by 9.9
2064
#32
19.90.2
19.519.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsMissed