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Red61
919317.7
905615.1
57131.6
Blue76
17828.4
332326.6
92168.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64770501001506176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
571
#20
31.60.0
29.429.4
Auto7.9
Teleop17.5
End6.1
red by 3.1
178
#22
28.41.5
31.029.5
Auto10.0
Teleop13.5
End4.8
Second
9193
#28
17.70.0
16.716.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.3
End5.9
blue by 8.9
3323
#16
26.61.5
28.526.9
Auto6.5
Teleop12.5
End7.6
Third
9056
#30
15.10.0
15.315.3
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End7.0
red by 6.5
9216
#38
8.71.5
10.79.2
Auto1.8
Teleop2.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsMissed