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Red51
23633.2
314633.8
462811.8
Blue122
808549.6
23057.0
363414.3
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861315010015020051122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3146
#23
33.82.7
37.835.1
Auto11.7
Teleop14.5
End7.6
blue by 23.2
230
#1
57.00.3
57.357.6
Auto16.0
Teleop33.2
End7.6
Second
236
#18
33.22.7
34.531.8
Auto11.9
Teleop12.7
End8.6
blue by 16.5
49.60.3
45.545.8
Auto11.8
Teleop28.8
End9.0
Third
4628
#27
11.82.7
14.011.3
Auto4.2
Teleop1.9
End5.7
blue by 2.5
3634
#39
14.30.3
14.715.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed33%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsEarned