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Red62
816729.8
514217.5
92168.7
Blue73
905615.1
769430.3
457218.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64664050607080906273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8167
#17
29.81.0
32.031.0
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End6.3
blue by 0.5
7694
#21
30.30.4
27.628.0
Auto11.0
Teleop11.5
End7.7
Second
5142
#36
17.51.0
19.218.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End6.4
blue by 1.2
4572
#19
18.70.4
19.019.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.1
End4.6
Third
9216
#38
8.71.0
9.28.1
Auto1.8
Teleop2.9
End3.9
blue by 6.5
9056
#30
15.10.5
15.315.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsEarned