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Red97
346433.1
217034.2
919317.7
Blue38
206419.9
514217.5
585614.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584902040801009738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.22.6
21.223.7
Auto8.8
Teleop16.5
End8.9
red by 14.3
2064
#32
19.91.4
17.616.2
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End6.2
Second
3464
#10
33.12.6
25.027.5
Auto10.3
Teleop14.8
End8.0
red by 15.5
5142
#36
17.51.4
19.718.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End6.4
Third
9193
#28
17.72.6
7.510.1
Auto4.5
Teleop7.3
End5.9
red by 3.2
5856
#34
14.51.4
10.28.8
Auto2.4
Teleop5.7
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsEarned33%Activation oddsMissed