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Red135
199121.5
99942.4
740752.3
Blue96
107126.1
23633.2
574624.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126835010015020013596

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#13
52.30.5
51.151.6
Auto12.9
Teleop30.6
End8.8
red by 19.1
236
#18
33.20.3
33.033.3
Auto11.9
Teleop12.7
End8.6
Second
999
#3
42.40.5
41.241.7
Auto13.0
Teleop21.2
End8.3
red by 16.3
1071
#11
26.10.3
25.926.2
Auto6.8
Teleop12.1
End7.2
Third
1991
#33
21.50.5
20.320.8
Auto10.3
Teleop6.0
End5.2
blue by 2.8
5746
#12
24.30.3
24.124.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.6
End9.9