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Red125
199121.5
99942.4
740752.3
Blue162
808549.6
9549.6
318231.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1201356080100160180200220125162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#13
52.30.0
51.651.6
Auto12.9
Teleop30.6
End8.8
red by 2.7
49.60.5
47.948.4
Auto11.8
Teleop28.8
End9.0
Second
999
#3
42.40.0
41.741.7
Auto13.0
Teleop21.2
End8.3
blue by 7.2
95
#5
49.60.5
47.848.3
Auto12.9
Teleop29.4
End7.3
Third
1991
#33
21.50.0
20.820.8
Auto10.3
Teleop6.0
End5.2
blue by 9.5
3182
#24
31.10.5
29.329.8
Auto11.3
Teleop12.0
End7.8