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Red153
501338.2
512625.4
198753.4
Blue65
173047.1
511922.8
171027.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12510505015020015365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.40.6
52.753.3
Auto15.6
Teleop30.2
End6.6
red by 6.3
1730
#10
47.11.0
48.247.2
Auto9.0
Teleop29.0
End8.7
Second
5013
#30
38.20.6
37.638.2
Auto6.6
Teleop22.2
End9.5
red by 10.5
1710
#23
27.71.0
28.827.8
Auto10.2
Teleop11.6
End6.2
Third
5126
#28
25.40.6
24.725.4
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End4.1
red by 2.6
5119
#35
22.81.0
23.822.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.6
End5.7