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Qual 102023 Cow Town ThrowDown
Red120
176321.8
642463.9
198231.2
Blue91
241026.9
173047.1
495923.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311105010015020012091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6424
#2
63.90.0
63.6→63.6
Auto15.5
Teleop37.4
End9.8
red by 16.9
1730
#10
47.11.0
54.5→53.5
Auto9.0
Teleop29.0
End8.7
Second
1982
#3
31.20.0
33.7→33.7
Auto11.0
Teleop14.0
End6.2
red by 4.2
2410
#32
26.91.0
29.7→28.7
Auto8.0
Teleop13.1
End5.9
Third
1763
#17
21.80.0
22.3→22.3
Auto6.4
Teleop9.5
End6.0
blue by 2.1
4959
#20
23.81.0
21.8→20.8
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsEarned41%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned