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Red57
999918.1
512625.4
580920.3
Blue82
509825.8
176927.7
882531.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81940501505782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5126
#28
25.40.9
28.427.5
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End4.1
blue by 6.3
31.70.3
31.230.9
Auto11.6
Teleop12.7
End7.4
Second
5809
#37
20.30.9
26.425.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.2
End6.5
blue by 7.5
1769
#16
27.70.3
28.528.2
Auto9.6
Teleop12.6
End5.6
Third
9999
#31
18.11.5
16.114.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End6.0
blue by 7.7
25.80.3
27.327.0
Auto10.2
Teleop10.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned