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Red149
198652.5
198753.4
182529.4
Blue92
173047.1
392833.5
931619.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1711255010015020025014992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.41.1
66.265.0
Auto15.6
Teleop30.2
End6.6
red by 6.3
1730
#10
47.12.1
56.554.5
Auto9.0
Teleop29.0
End8.7
Second
52.51.1
53.852.7
Auto13.8
Teleop29.4
End8.5
red by 19.0
3928
#13
33.52.1
39.037.0
Auto11.3
Teleop15.9
End6.9
Third
29.41.1
36.034.9
Auto11.2
Teleop13.7
End4.7
red by 9.7
9316
#33
19.62.1
27.225.2
Auto4.7
Teleop8.1
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned64%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned