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Red76
17746.3
363415.9
23731.6
Blue41
206741.3
919310.1
199118.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7563020401001201401607641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#2
46.30.7
27.628.4
Auto8.5
Teleop28.9
End8.9
red by 4.9
41.32.2
28.526.3
Auto12.9
Teleop20.8
End7.6
Second
237
#7
31.60.7
26.226.9
Auto9.7
Teleop16.4
End5.5
red by 13.5
1991
#23
18.12.2
20.818.6
Auto6.9
Teleop6.2
End5.0
Third
3634
#26
15.90.7
15.516.3
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End6.7
red by 5.9
9193
#21
10.12.2
11.79.5
Auto3.8
Teleop3.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed49%Activation oddsMissed